The fallacy of mood affiliation

Mood affiliation is a form of motivated reasoning where you first choose a mood or attitude, then find confirming evidence that matches the mood.

This seems to have been happening in the "we are stagnating" pessimism in late 2010s, as well as "we are no longer stagnating" optimism in early 2020s, and once again with recession fears of 2022.

Other examples from Tyler Cowen:


Last edited on Jan 2024